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The MATHEMATICA economic analysis of the Space Shuttle SystemDetailed economic analysis shows the Thrust Assisted Orbiter Space Shuttle System (TAOS) to be the most economic Space Shuttle configuration among the systems studied. The development of a TAOS Shuttle system is economically justified within a level of space activities between 300 and 360 Shuttle flights in the 1979-1990 period, or about 25 to 30 flights per year, well within the U.S. Space Program including NASA and DoD missions. If the NASA and DoD models are taken at face value (624 flights), the benefits of the Shuttle system are estimated to be $13.9 billion with a standard deviation of plus or minus $1.45 billion in 1970 dollars (at a 10% social rate of discount). If the expected program is modified to 514 flights (in the 1979-1990 period), the estimated benefits of the Shuttle system are $10.2 billion, with a standard deviation of $940 million (at a 10% social rate of discount).
Document ID
19740031365
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Conference Proceedings
Authors
Heiss, K. P.
(MATHEMATICA, Inc. Princeton, N.J., United States)
Date Acquired
August 7, 2013
Publication Date
January 1, 1973
Subject Category
General
Meeting Information
Meeting: Symposium on Space Shuttle Payloads
Location: Washington, DC
Start Date: December 27, 1972
End Date: December 8, 1972
Accession Number
74A14115
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: NASW-2081
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other

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