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The probability distribution of the predicted CFM-induced ozone depletionIt is argued from the central limit theorem that the uncertainty in model predicted changes of the ozone column density is best represented by a normal probability density distribution. This conclusion is validated by comparison with a probability distribution generated by a Monte Carlo technique. In the case of the CFM-induced ozone depletion, and based on the estimated uncertainties in the reaction rate coefficients alone the relative mean standard deviation of this normal distribution is estimated to be 0.29.
Document ID
19800037292
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Reprint (Version printed in journal)
Authors
Ehhalt, D. H.
(Kernforschungsanlage Juelich GmbH Juelich, Germany)
Chang, J. S.
(California, University Lawrence Livermore Laboratory, Livermore, Calif., United States)
Bulter, D. M.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Laboratory for Planetary Atmospheres, Greenbelt, Md., United States)
Date Acquired
August 10, 2013
Publication Date
December 20, 1979
Publication Information
Publication: Journal of Geophysical Research
Volume: 84
Subject Category
Geophysics
Accession Number
80A21462
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other

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