Major and minor stratospheric warmings and their interactions on the troposphere

The evolution of the kinetic and thermal energy associated with the major and minor stratospheric warmings in the winters of 1975-76 and 1976-77 is investigated on the basis of NMC gridded analysis of meteorological data and then related to changes in the stratosphere and troposphere. It is found that the predominant ultra-long waves in the stratosphere oscillated at periods of 10-20 days, while in the troposphere the predominant long waves oscillated at periods of 8 to 12 days and were almost out-of-phase for the major warming. The kinetic energy of the zonal mean flow in the stratosphere for the minor warming is shown to be much greater than that for the major warming, indicating the dependence of the major warming occurrence on the kinetic energy magnitude of the zonal mean flow relative to that of the meridional convergence of the poleward flux of sensible heat.