Technology - The path to the next 50 years

The paper stresses the importance of committing time and resources to space technology based on the premise that an accurate appraisal of the impact of technology and other influences on the present state of aviation will facilitate the planning of space technology. The paper presents the technological advances in aviation since 1903 by dividing the era of aviation into four distinct segments and, by analogy, distinct phases are also seen in the evolution of space flight. One factor seen as limiting advances in space is cost. Processes in space must now be shown to be affordable; a demonstration of technological feasibility is no longer sufficient. For this reason, technology must focus on ensuring the affordability and utility of space processes. A commitment to making space affordable will yield the tools necessary to embark on future space ventures.