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A predictive monsoon signal in the surface level thermal field over IndiaThe mean monthly surface thermal field over India during the premonsoon months March-May, based on mean monthly-temperature/minimum-temperature/maximum-temperature data from the network of 119 stations, was examined with the objective of locating significant predictor parameters for forecasting Indian monsoon rainfall. The results of linear correlation analysis bring out three areas for which the relationships between Indian monsoon rainfalls and the area average of mean monthly minimum temperature for April or for May were found to be significant. The best correlation was found for the southern peninsular area, where the mean May minimum temperature is significantly related to the 500 mB April ridge, a tendency in the Southern Oscillation Index, and a tendency in eastern equatorial Pacific SST.
Document ID
19880043170
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Reprint (Version printed in journal)
Authors
Mooley, D. A.
(Maryland Univ. College Park, MD, United States)
Paolino, D. A.
(Maryland, University College Park, United States)
Date Acquired
August 13, 2013
Publication Date
January 1, 1988
Publication Information
Publication: Monthly Weather Review
Volume: 116
ISSN: 0027-0644
Subject Category
Meteorology And Climatology
Accession Number
88A30397
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: NAGW-558
CONTRACT_GRANT: NSF ATM-84-14660
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other

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