The undetected error probability for Reed-Solomon codes

McEliece and Swanson (1986) offered an upper bound on P(E)u, the decoder error probability given u symbol errors occur. In the present study, by using a combinatoric technique such as the principle of inclusion and exclusion, an exact formula for P(E)u is derived. The P(E)u of a maximum distance separable code is observed to approach Q rapidly as u gets large, where Q is the probability that a completely random error pattern will cause decoder error. An upper bound for the expansion P(E)u/Q - 1 is derived, and is shown to decrease nearly exponentially as u increases. This proves analytically that P(E)u indeed approaches Q as u becomes large, and that some laws of large number come into play.