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Climate-induced changes in forest disturbance and vegetationNew and published climate-model results are discussed which indicate that global warming favors increased rates of forest disturbance as a result of weather more likely to cause forest fires, convective wind storms, coastal flooding, and hurricanes. New sensitivity tests carried out with a vegetation model indicate that climate-induced increases in disturbance could, in turn, significantly alter the total biomass and compositional response of forests to future warming. An increase in disturbance frequency is also likely to increase the rate at which natural vegetation responses to future climate change. The results reinforce the hypothesis that forests could be significantly altered by the first part of the next century. The modeling also confirms the potential utility of selected time series of fossil pollen data for investigating the poorly understood natural patterns of century-scale climate variability.
Document ID
19900034386
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Reprint (Version printed in journal)
External Source(s)
Authors
Overpeck, Jonathan T.
(Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory Palisades, NY, United States)
Rind, David
(NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies New York, United States)
Goldberg, Richard
(Columbia University New York, United States)
Date Acquired
August 14, 2013
Publication Date
January 4, 1990
Publication Information
Publication: Nature
Volume: 343
ISSN: 0028-0836
Subject Category
Geosciences (General)
Accession Number
90A21441
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other

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