Annual variation of deseasonalized mean flow acceleration in the equatorial lower stratosphere

The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the equatorial lower stratosphere appears to be influenced by the seasonal cycle, as phase transitions at 50 mb occur primarily in the northern spring/summer season (April-August). Descent of east wind regimes varies widely from one QBO cycle to another. Most of this variation occurs because easterly shears slow down or 'stall' in their descent sometime between July and February. Minimum mean flow accelerations at 50 mb occur in the northern winter season, slightly before the annual minimum in equatorial tropopause temperature. Although a weak effect of the semiannual oscillation can be detected near 10 mb, the seasonal effect over most of the QBO region is annual. The seasonal cycle apparently modulates the onset of QBO phases, and slightly enhances the ability to predict the QBO, but is of insufficient strength or consistency to exactly synchronize the quasi-biennial oscillation with the seasonal cycle.