GOES-Microburst Products Performance Analysis in the Cape Canaveral and Kennedy Space Center Areas

In the past few years, the capabilities of NOAA Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) have increased dramatically. Hourly vertical sounder data is now generally available, but may be unavailable depending upon cloud conditions, satellite operations, and computer system problems at NOAA#s National Environmental Satellite Display and Information Service (NESDIS). Meteorologists at NESDIS have used vertical sounder data to develop experimental products for forecasting the probability of convective downbursts. The two products of interest are the Microburst Day Predictive Index (MDPI), which provides an indication of microburst potential and the WINDEX which is a forecast of maximum winds assuming a microburst does occur. Data analyses were made for the central Florida convective season, that is, the period beginning May 1 and ending September 30. The MDPI showed significant potential as an aid in forecasting convective downbursts. MDPI calculated from GOES soundings were well correlated with those calculated from Cape Canaveral RAOBs.