Terminal Guidance Navigation for an Asteroid Impactor Spacecraft

Near Earth Asteroids could potentially cause a great deal of devastation if one were to impact the Earth. If such an asteroid were found, the next step would be to mitigate the threat by one of several options, the most viable of which is to deflect the asteroids trajectory such that it misses the Earth by hitting it at a very high velocity with a spacecraft. The technology to perform such a deflection has been demonstrated by the Deep Impact (DI) mission, which successfully collided with comet Tempel 1 in July 2005 using an onboard autonomous navigation system, called AutoNav, for the terminal phase of the mission. In this paper, we evaluate the ability of AutoNav to impact a wide range of scenarios that an deflection mission could encounter, varying parameters such as the approach velocity, phase angle, size of the asteroid, and the determination of spacecraft attitude. Using realistic Monte Carlo simulations, we tabulated the probability of success of the deflection as a function of these parameters, and find the highest sensitivity to be due the spacecraft attitude determination mode. We conclude with some recommendations for future work.