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The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate ProjectionsSuppose you are a city planner, regional water manager, or wildlife conservation specialist who is asked to include the potential impacts of climate variability and change in your risk management and planning efforts. What climate information would you use? The choice is often regional or local climate projections downscaled from global climate models (GCMs; also known as general circulation models) to include detail at spatial and temporal scales that align with those of the decision problem. A few years ago this information was hard to come by. Now there is Web-based access to a proliferation of high-resolution climate projections derived with differing downscaling methods.
Document ID
20150019486
Acquisition Source
Goddard Space Flight Center
Document Type
Reprint (Version printed in journal)
External Source(s)
Authors
Barsugli, Joseph J.
(Colorado Univ. Boulder, CO, United States)
Guentchev, Galina
(National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, CO, United States)
Horton, Radley M.
(Columbia Univ. New York, NY, United States)
Wood, Andrew
(National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, CO, United States)
Mearns, Lindo O.
(National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, CO, United States)
Liang, Xin-Zhong
(Maryland Univ. College Park, MD, United States)
Winkler, Julia A.
(Michigan State Univ. East Lansing, MI, United States)
Dixon, Keith
(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Princeton, NJ, United States)
Hayhoe, Katharine
(Texas Tech Univ. Lubbock, TX, United States)
Rood, Richard B.
(Michigan Univ. Ann Arbor, MI, United States)
Goddard, Lisa
(Columbia Univ. Palisades, NY, United States)
Ray, Andrea
(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Boulder, CO, United States)
Buja, Lawrence
(National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, CO, United States)
Ammann, Caspar
(National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, CO, United States)
Date Acquired
October 20, 2015
Publication Date
November 12, 2013
Publication Information
Publication: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
Publisher: Wiley/AGU
Volume: 94
Issue: 46
Subject Category
Statistics And Probability
Quality Assurance And Reliability
Meteorology And Climatology
Report/Patent Number
GSFC-E-DAA-TN24475
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: NNX14AB99A
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other
Keywords
downscaled projections
credibility
climate variability and change
quantitative evaluation

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