A dynamical basis for the parameterization of organized deep convection in large-scale numerical models

A hierarchy of steady, nonlinear, semianalytic models of different types of convection were produced. These provide a theoretical framework for determining cloud outflow fluxes of both dynamic and thermodynamic quantities, which can be used to formulate dynamical transports in parameterization schemes. This was achieved by exploiting certain Lagrangian conservation properties of steady flow, from which an equation for the vertical displacement of particles can be obtained and the outflow entropy, energy and momentum fluxes and the infow/outflow mass fluxes can be determined from solution to the equation. These fluxes are determined in terms of grid scale parameters such as convective available potential energy (CAPE), cloud layer shear, and horizontal pressure gradients. Five main types of system models are identified, respectively representing archtypes of convection in zero shear, large shear, midlatitude squall lines, tropical squall lines and cellular convection. The downdraught is an important aspect in the first four of these and the cloud scale transport of momentum is very distinctive.