A sensitivity analysis of the Shuttle Orbiter heating

A procedure for estimating relative sensitivities in Space Shuttle Orbiter entry heating due to variations from nominal flight parameters is presented. Ballpark values are provided for assessing heating changes caused by off-nominal variations in anglle of attack and Reynolds number for laminar flow conditions. Also, a procedure for scaling heating data obtained on subscale models tested at low-enthalpy wind-tunnel test conditions to high-enthalpy flight conditions using simplified flow analysis techniques is presented and verified with flight and wind-tunnel data. In addition, data are presented illustrating that a significant increase in heating was experienced on the fifth Orbiter flight. The increase was possibly caused by changes in the catalytic properties of the Orbiter thermal protection system surface.