Low-frequency dynamics of quasi-geostrophic waves in a midlatitude channel and the effects of tropical influence

Both zonal mean flow and stationary waves in the stratosphere have large variabilities from month to month and from year to year. One plausible mechanism that can account for these variabilities is the interaction between the forced stationary waves and the mean zonal flow. Given the large energy source contained in the stationary waves which are forced in the lower atmosphere, they are probably responsible for inducing the bulk of the variability in the mean flow in the stratosphere. Variability in the mean flow can in turn produce variability in the stationary wave amplitudes due to the possible sensitivity of wave response in the stratosphere to the configuration of the wave guide determined by the mean flow. The likely causes for the low-frequency variability of the stationary waves-mean flow system in extratropical latitudes are assessed. The causes of variability are divided into internal and external ones. Internal mechanisms include transition between equilibria and vacillation cycles, while mechanisms external to the midlatitude system include eddy heat and momentum fluxes from the tropics and the Hadley circulation forced in the tropics.