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A dynamo theory prediction for solar cycle 22: Sunspot number, radio flux, exospheric temperature, and total density at 400 kmUsing the dynamo theory method to predict solar activity, a value for the smoothed sunspot number of 109 + or - 20 is obtained for solar cycle 22. The predicted cycle is expected to peak near December, 1990 + or - 1 year. Concommitantly, F(10.7) radio flux is expected to reach a smoothed value of 158 + or - 18 flux units. Global mean exospheric temperature is expected to reach 1060 + or - 50 K and global total average total thermospheric density at 400 km is expected to reach 4.3 x 10 to the -15th gm/cu cm + or - 25 percent.
Document ID
19860019862
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Conference Paper
Authors
Schatten, K. H.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Hedin, A. E.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Date Acquired
August 12, 2013
Publication Date
June 1, 1986
Publication Information
Publication: Thermosphere Dynamics Workshop, Volume 2
Subject Category
Geophysics
Accession Number
86N29334
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Work of the US Gov. Public Use Permitted.
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