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Error growth and predictability in operational ECMWF forecastsThe forecast error growth in the 100-day ECMWF data set of 10-day forecasts previously utilized by Lorenz (1982) is studied, separating the square of the error into systematic and random components. The nature of the errors is analyzed in the spherical harmonics wavenumber domain, and a new parametrization and its application to global errors are presented. The wavenumber dependence of the error growth is studied.
Document ID
19880033013
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Reprint (Version printed in journal)
Authors
Dalcher, Amnon
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Kalnay, Eugenia
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Date Acquired
August 13, 2013
Publication Date
October 1, 1987
Publication Information
Publication: Tellus, Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Volume: 39A
ISSN: 0280-6495
Subject Category
Meteorology And Climatology
Report/Patent Number
ISSN: 0280-6495
Accession Number
88A20240
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other

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