Thermal light variations of active galactic nuclei

Thermal limit cycles in accretion disks are a promising explanation of the quasi-periodic outbursts of dwarf novae. A similar mechanism may lead to observable light variations in active galactic nuclei (AGNs) at wavelengths 1-5 microns. The variations should obey a characteristic period-luminosity relation. For low-luminosity AGNs, these variations could have a period of less than about 10 yr.