Near-Earth asteroid discovery rate review

Fifteen to twenty years ago the discovery of 1 or 2 Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) per year was typical from one systematic search program, Palomar Planet Crossing Asteroid Survey (PCAS), and the incidental discovery from a variety of other astronomical program. Sky coverage and magnitude were both limited by slower emulsions, requiring longer exposures. The 1970's sky coverage of 15,000 to 25,000 sq. deg. per year led to about 1 NEA discovery every 13,000 sq. deg. Looking at the years from 1987 through 1990, it was found that by comparing 1987/1988 and 1989/1990, the world discovery rate of NEAs went from 20 to 43. More specifically, PCAS' results when grouped into the two year periods, show an increase from 5 discoveries in the 1st period to 20 in the 2nd period, a fourfold increase. Also, the discoveries went from representing about 25 pct. of the world total to about 50 pct. of discoveries worldwide. The surge of discoveries enjoyed by PCAS in particular is attributed to new fine grain sensitive emulsions, film hypering, more uniformity in the quality of the photograph, more equitable scheduling, better weather, and coordination of efforts. The maximum discoveries seem to have been attained at Palomar Schmidt.