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Nonlinear techniques for forecasting solar activity directly from its time seriesNumerical techniques for constructing nonlinear predictive models to forecast solar flux directly from its time series are presented. This approach makes it possible to extract dynamical invariants of our system without reference to any underlying solar physics. We consider the dynamical evolution of solar activity in a reconstructed phase space that captures the attractor (strange), given a procedure for constructing a predictor of future solar activity, and discuss extraction of dynamical invariants such as Lyapunov exponents and attractor dimension.
Document ID
19920019627
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Conference Paper
Authors
Ashrafi, S.
(Computer Sciences Corp. Lanham, MD., United States)
Roszman, L.
(Computer Sciences Corp. Lanham, MD., United States)
Cooley, J.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Date Acquired
September 6, 2013
Publication Date
January 1, 1992
Subject Category
Solar Physics
Report/Patent Number
NASA-TM-107946
NAS 1.15:107946
Report Number: NASA-TM-107946
Report Number: NAS 1.15:107946
Meeting Information
Meeting: Flight Mechanics/Estimation Theory Symposium
Location: Greenbelt, MD
Country: United States
Start Date: May 5, 1992
End Date: May 7, 1992
Accession Number
92N28870
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: NAS5-31500
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Work of the US Gov. Public Use Permitted.
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