A Regression Method for Comparing Launch Zone Ranges Derived From Different Sources

In modern fighter aircraft air-to-air missile launch acceptable ranges (LARs) are provided to the pilot for his launch decision. These LARs are calculated in the avionic software, using very simple algebraic equations and algorithms, that attempt to model complex missile behavior. Frequently these algorithms are revised to reflect inaccuracies discovered, when comparisons are made with missile six degree-of-freedom (6-DOF) simulations. The process of modifying this software has become expensive. In the past, these simple LAR generators were modified based only on subjective judgmental approach, with little regard to the missile range design limits. With reduced budgets a more rational methodology should be taken to assess whether or not simple fighter LAR generators need to be modified.

Any LAR generator can produce large amounts of range (minimum and maximum) data over the board engagement limits of modem fighter and air-to-air missiles. This infinite population lends itself to some statistical methodology to access simple LAR accuracy and the need for software modification. The methodology should produce statistical parameters for use in the decision making process of modifying a simple fighter LAR generator. This paper presents a regression method, based on a missile range design limit philosophy. Acceptance criteria from the regression method are given that provide simple statistical parameters to aid in this decision making process.