Recent refinements and increased capabilities in balloon vertical performance analysis

The NASA Thermal Trajectory analysis model for predicting the vertical performance of balloons is described in terms of two critical refinements and recent results. The model employs heat-balance equations and a vertical equation of motion, and revised methods are employed to predict maximum balloon volume, balloon shape, and the continuous computation of gas loss. Also incorporated are modeling techniques for assessing the solar radiation input that can affect the load tapes, and autoballast control algorithms are employed. The model permits the evaluation of the presence of cap layers as well as the effects of small leaks and programmed venting. The revised model is shown to give good predictions of balloon performance during flight in terms of altitude changes, descent rates, gas-mass flow, and leak potential. The model is found to be more versatile due to autoballasting and leak analysis, and good prediction are possible for the float phase and descent of current balloon shapes.