The long-term dynamical behavior of short-period comets

The orbits of the known short-period comets under the influence of the Sun and all the planets except Mercury and Pluto are numerically integrated. The calculation was undertaken in order to determine the dynamical lifetimes for these objects as well as explaining the current orbital element distribution. It is found that a comet can move between Jupiter-family and Halley-family comets several times in its dynamical lifetime. The median lifetime of the known short-period comets from the time they are first injected into a short-period comet orbit to ultimate ejection is approximately 50,000 years. The very flat inclination distribution of Jupiter-family comets is observed to become more distended as it ages. The only possible explanation for the observed flat distribution is that the comets become extinct before their inclination distribution can change significantly. It is shown that the anomalous concentration of the argument of perihelion of Jupiter-family comets near 0 and 180 deg is a direct result of their aphelion distance being close to 5.2AU and the comet being recently perturbed onto a Jupiter-family orbit. Also the concentration of their aphelion near Jupiter's orbit is a result of the conservation of the Tisserand invariant during the capture process.