Applications of a fast and efficient method for simulating orbital mission safety

A fast and efficient method for simulating potential interactions between space objects is presented. The specialized hazard analysis simulation is run at the Russian Space Surveillance Center. It simulates the motion of objects in space and determines close encounters between these objects. First, ephemerides are predicted for all space objects over the time interval of concern. Second, using the predicted ephemerides, pairs of satellites that would likely collide are grouped together. Throughout the process, the pairs initially chosen are refined until all pairs of satellites are found which come within a certain miss distance of each other. In addition to the miss distance, other characteristics of the encounter including angle of incidence, relative velocity, type of approaching object, and probability of collision come out of the simulation. There are many potential applications of this simulation and its results to missing planning and mission safety. Artificial objects can be introduced to the simulation to examine potential encounters between the new objects and current objects for mission design applications. The simulation can be run many times to create data for statistical analysis of encounter parameters. These as well as many other potential applications are presented and discussed.