Observations of the 2-day wave in NMC stratospheric analyses

Observational characteristics of the 2-day wave, a westward-propagating zonal wave 3 oscillation in the summer subtropical upper stratosphere and mesosphere, are studied based on five years of National Meteorological Center (NMC) operational stratospheric analyses. These data show episodic occurrence of the 2-day wave in the upper stratosphere in January (centered near 20 deg S) and July - August (centered near 20 deg N). These episodes are strongly correlated with observed reversals of the zonal mean potential vorticity gradient near the core of the summer easterly jet, consistent with previous suggestions that the 2-day wave is generated by an in situ instability of this jet. On the other hand, the horizontal and vertical structure of the waves is very similar to that calculated by Salby for a global normal-mode Rossby wave. The combination of normal-mode structure and instability signature suggests that the 2-day wave is a near-resonant mode forced by dynamical instability.