Multiple Equilibria Associated with Response of the ITCZ to Seasonal SST Forcing

Supported by numerical experiment results, the abrupt change of the location of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), from the equatorial trough flow regime to the monsoon trough flow regime is interpreted as a subcritical instability. The existence of these multiple quasi-equilibria is due to the balance of two "forces" on the ITCZ: one toward the equator, due to the earth's rotation, has a nonlinear latitudinal dependence; and the other toward the latitude of the sea surface (or ground) temperature peak has a relatively linear latitudinal dependence. This work pivots on the finding that the ITCZ and Hadley circulation can still exist without the pole-to-equator gradient of radiative-convective equilibrium temperature.