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On the Relation Between Spotless Days and the Sunspot CycleSpotless days are examined as a predictor for the size and timing of a sunspot cycle. For cycles 16-23 the first spotless day for a new cycle, which occurs during the decline of the old cycle, is found to precede minimum amplitude for the new cycle by about approximately equal to 34 mo, having a range of 25-40 mo. Reports indicate that the first spotless day for cycle 24 occurred in January 2004, suggesting that minimum amplitude for cycle 24 should be expected before April 2007, probably sometime during the latter half of 2006. If true, then cycle 23 will be classified as a cycle of shorter period, inferring further that cycle 24 likely will be a cycle of larger than average minimum and maximum amplitudes and faster than average rise, peaking sometime in 2010.
Document ID
20050165094
Acquisition Source
Marshall Space Flight Center
Document Type
Technical Publication (TP)
Authors
Wilson, Robert M.
(NASA Marshall Space Flight Center Huntsville, AL, United States)
Hathaway, David H.
(NASA Marshall Space Flight Center Huntsville, AL, United States)
Date Acquired
September 7, 2013
Publication Date
January 1, 2005
Subject Category
Spacecraft Propulsion And Power
Report/Patent Number
NASA/TP-2005-213608
M1130
Report Number: NASA/TP-2005-213608
Report Number: M1130
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Work of the US Gov. Public Use Permitted.
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