A Monte Carlo Approach to Measuring Trajectory Performance Subject to Missed Thrust

A spacecraft using solar electric propulsion (SEP) to reach its destination must operate its thrusters for very long periods of time compared to one using chemical propulsion. Some spacecraft may be required to thrust almost the entire duration of the transfer to reach their target. A side-effect of this characteristic of SEP missions is that a spacecraft could be subject to an anomaly or fault that forces it to stop thrusting when it should be, causing it to drift away from its nominal trajectory. A diagram of this situation is shownin Figure 1. Because these shut-down events (commonly referred to as safe mode or safing events), are not uncommon and can be caused by uncontrollable external factors (such as a cosmic ray striking an electronic component), the spacecraft and trajectory should be designed such that the spacecraft can continue on to its destination in a reasonable time and propellant expenditure once operations resume.