Towards Thermal Protection System Certification by Analysis: Identification and Implication of Features

The thermal protection systems (TPS) to be used for upcoming sample return missions (e.g., Mars Sample Return) and future crewed missions to the Moon and Mars are subject to stringent reliability criteria. The certification of TPS is conducted through extensive testing, which can include Arc Jet testing to understand ablative behavior and non-destructive evaluation (NDE) to identify features that could lead to sub-optimal performance during entry. Unexpected features observed during fabrication of large-scale articles often require additional testing to certify, which in the very worst cases can impact schedule and contribute to cost.