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Independent Market Study: Commercial Hypersonic TransportationIn support of NASA’s evaluation of its future research thrusts for its hypersonics program, NASA commissioned independent studies of the market for commercial hypersonic transportation. SAIC and BryceTech (formerly Bryce Space and Technology) were awarded one of these independent studies to assist NASA in better understanding: (1) the passenger demand for high-speed aviation travel; (2) the pressures on the business case for developing and operating a hypersonic aircraft for the commercial aviation market; and (3) the non-technical (i.e., societal) barriers and challenges, including the steps NASA and the Government could take to overcome those barriers and challenges. Our approach to addressing these three tasks for NASA included modeling future demand and future business operations, considering global air transportation at speeds of Mach 2 to Mach 7. The team forecast premium air travel demand through 2060 and assessed the willingness of passengers of different income and wealth levels to pay to save time on flights between 800 city pairs. With the total addressable market defined, we examined industry-level business case viability for several aircraft speed and range cases. Considering operating and manufacturing costs for routes that could be serviced profitably, as well as typical profitability targets for the aviation industry, we quantified the level of RDT&E funding available to support each business case.
Document ID
Acquisition Source
Glenn Research Center
Document Type
Contractor or Grantee Report
Carie Mullins
(Bryce Space and Technology)
Ron Lehmer
(Science Applications International Corporation (United States) McLean, Virginia, United States)
Date Acquired
May 13, 2021
Publication Date
February 25, 2021
Subject Category
Aircraft Propulsion And Power
Air Transportation And Safety
Funding Number(s)
WBS: 725017.
Distribution Limits
Public Use Permitted.
Technical Review
Single Expert
hypersonic aircraft
market research
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