Should Oxygen, Hydrogen, and Water on the Moon Be Provided by Earth Supply, Life Support Recycling, or Regolith Mining?

The water needed for space life support has so far been provided by either direct supply from Earth on most missions or by life support wastewater recycling on the International Space Station (ISS). With the recent large reduction in launch cost, Earth resupply has become more attractive, but recycling always costs less than resupply for a large enough crew on a long enough mission. Water is also needed to make up recycling losses and oxygen and hydrogen are needed for propulsion fuel. This paper compares the costs of oxygen, hydrogen, and water on the moon for Earth supply, lunar recycling, and lunar mining. While Earth
supply is the most expensive by far, lunar recycling and mining costs are not much different. Life support wastewater provides a large but limited supply, so lunar mining will always be needed. Minor cost reductions may make mining less expensive than recycling.