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Probabilistic Risk Assessment of a Sustained Lunar PresenceThe Artemis Base Camp will be our first sustainable foothold on the lunar frontier. The base camp includes a lunar surface habitat, power systems, and infrastructure needed to develop capabilities on future missions to Mars. NASA Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) methodologies tend to focus on in-flight Loss of Crew (LOC) or Loss of Vehicle (LOV) risk estimates for short mission durations. However, lunar habit support systems and power generation systems will need to continuously operate. Existing risk methodologies will need to adapt to understand risk drivers in new environments under different operating conditions, such as lunar dust and increased micro-meteoroid exposure. Insights from the nuclear and oil industries can provide guidance to NASA risk practitioners to tackle this new challenge.
Document ID
20210023950
Acquisition Source
Marshall Space Flight Center
Document Type
Presentation
Authors
Richard Meshell
(Bastion Technologies Inc.)
Frank Hark
(Bastion Technologies Inc.)
Date Acquired
November 4, 2021
Subject Category
Quality Assurance And Reliability
Meeting Information
Meeting: RAM Training Summit 13
Location: Huntsville, AL
Country: US
Start Date: November 30, 2021
End Date: December 2, 2021
Sponsors: Society of Reliability Engineers - Huntsville Chapter
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: 80MSFC18C0005
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Portions of document may include copyright protected material.
Technical Review
NASA Technical Management
Keywords
risk assessment
lunar
artemis 3
Probabilistic Risk Assessment
risk
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