Update on Prediction Uncertainty Reduction (PUR) Tech Challenge

NASA has taken on a Technical Challenge to reduce the uncertainty in prediction of noise from near-term commercial supersonic aircraft. To date, an assessment has been done to baseline this effort, quantifying how much more uncertainty exists when the system-level prediction methods are applied to supersonic aircraft as compared to conventional aircraft. And an assessment has been made for the uncertainty in the physics-based simulations for jets. These will be briefly demonstrated.