Jobos Bay Water Resources II: Using Earth Observations to Analyze Shoreline Changes and Understand the Effects of Sea Level Rise in Southern Puerto Rico

High intensity storms and coastal development negatively impact the ecosystems of Jobos Bay, Puerto Rico, by causing reductions in mangrove forests and degradation of water quality. These changes can compromise the ecosystem services, economic value, and cultural significance provided to the community by Jobos Bay. In collaboration with the Jobos Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve (JBNERR), the Jobos Bay Water Resources II team used Earth observations to investigate water quality, watersheds land use land cover (LULC) changes, and the impact of Hurricanes Maria and Irma on mangrove forest area. This information will improve JBNERR’s understanding of the impacts of development and weather events on Jobos Bay, and will inform future shoreline management decisions that ensure continued quality of the ecosystem. Mangrove extent was examined using imagery from Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI), WorldView 2 WV110, and WorldView 3 WV110. Imagery from Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) was used to map watersheds LULC. Landsat 8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI data were analyzed with in situ data collected at the time of satellite overpass to investigate water quality in Jobos Bay. Reduction from 2017 mangrove extent was observed in 2018 following the hurricane events, and area of mapped extent was greater than 2018 in 2021. Water quality derived from satellite data was compared to in situ water quality measurements to inform future methodology decisions.