Study of Pairwise Deconfliction Metrics to Analyze Air Traffic Complexity in Upper Class E Airspace

Upper Class E Traffic Management (ETM) is envisioned to cooperatively facilitate operations of a diverse set of aerial vehicles, such as high-altitude long-endurance fixed-wing unmanned aircraft (low-speed and high-speed), high-altitude platforms, airships, stratospheric balloons, supersonic unmanned and commercial aircraft, etc., with a wide variety of mission types, performance characteristics, communication, navigation and surveillance capabilities, maneuverability, and on-board avionics in the National Airspace System (NAS) ’above’ 60,000 feet above mean sea level, without an active and direct control from human air traffic controllers. A diverse mixture of aerial vehicle types creates significant challenges in understanding air traffic complexity, which may not correlate strongly with air traffic density. One key step for determining air traffic complexity in upper class E airspace is to first understand pairwise deconfliction metrics such as reachability, reserve area, and reserve flight time for each pair of unique aerial vehicle types under potential conflict. Therefore, pairwise deconfliction metrics are first defined, and analytical equations are derived for conflict resolution using the heading change maneuver. Next, case studies are performed to analyze deconfliction metrics to avoid secondary conflicts in upper class E airspace. The study shows that pairwise deconfliction metrics are functions of maneuverability, performance characteristics, uncertainty in position and velocity, heading angle change, and conflict angle of aerial vehicles. The next step for this research is to build a mathematical model for air traffic complexity using pairwise deconfliction metrics and validate it in an upper Class E simulation environment.