MISTRAL: Concept and Analysis of Persistent Airborne Localization of GHG Emissions

In this study, we propose a concept for localizing and mitigating greenhouse gases and other emissions from areas of various sizes, using a multiscale, airborne localization fleet, supported by information from satellites. Our objective is a rapidly implementable capability for the reduction of atmospheric methane by empowering the communities in proximity to emissions to actively contribute to methane mitigation via fleet operations by local governments, first responders, and individuals. Fully autonomous operations are economically desirable and technically feasible now. However, the development of regulations for autonomous operations is in early stages. Since rapid impact is critical to reducing emissions, the concept starts with remotely controlled vehicles. As regulations for autonomous operations reach maturity, the concept can be easily transitioned from the remotely piloted to autonomous mode. We report on a preliminary system analysis of the concept. Localization of methane emissions from the Permian Basin oil and gas production site serves as the design reference mission; however, the airborne concept is applicable to a broad range of use cases, and we describe several in this analysis. We consider leveraging satellite and ground-based resources within the airborne concept of operations. The study analyses uninhabited aerial system localization operations under the most conservative assumptions on resources and available information. Even under these assumptions, the concept is shown to be viable for local community operations.