Towards A Better Measurement of eta-Earth and Beyond Via Modernizing the Kepler Pipeline: An Update

The measurement of the occurrence of rocky habitable-zone planets orbiting Sun-like stars (eta-Earth), is a fundamental quantity for guiding our search for habitable exoplanets. Despite being launched 15 years ago, NASA’s Kepler mission remains responsible for finding the majority of all known exoplanet candidates relevant to eta-Earth, ushering in a new era of exoplanet demographics studies and continuing to drive planet occurrence rate calculations. However, the paucity of detections of likely rocky planets in the habitable zones of their host stars remains a limiting factor for estimating eta-Earth. We describe our five-year project for modernizing the Kepler planet detection and vetting pipeline in order to produce a more complete and reliable exoplanet catalog, which will lead to more accurate and precise measurements of eta-Earth. First, we are currently porting the original Kepler pipeline code from MATLAB to Python. We will then describe new stellar catalogs based on Gaia and ground-based imaging data, and ways to improve the pipeline detection and vetting algorithms. We will provide an update on the current state of this work. When completed, we will use this new pipeline and catalog to calculate updated estimates of eta-Earth. The full, updated pipeline code in Python, as well as all our inputs and results, will be made available to the public for detailed exoplanet occurrence-rate and demographics studies.