Ion Drive Technology Readiness for the 1985 Halley Comet Rendezvous Mission

This paper summarizes the results of an assessment performed by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in FY 77 of the technology readiness of ion propulsion technology to support a 1985 Halley Comet Rendezvous (HCR) mission. The assessment identifies the status of ion propulsion technology and risk of its utilization to perform the HCR mission as of July 1977 and provides projections of status and risk at the required date for an HCR project start, October 1978. These projections are based on the assumed completion of the development activities ongoing at the time of this assessment and the recommended new activities identified in this paper. The conclusions of the study indicate that a National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) commitment to the performance-demanding HCR mission would involve significant risk, greater than that experienced in any post-1964 planetary mission, despite years of supporting research and advanced development funding for ion propulsion and even assuming the success of an ambitious, aggressive FY 78 pre-project advanced systems technology (AST) program proposed by JPL. Contributing principally to the identified risk are a marginal mass margin of 6.7%, driven by uncertainties in ion drive vehicle masses and an unconfirmed solar array power degradation model of 12%, and technology currently undemonstrated to meet HCR mission requirements in two of the six subsystems of the ion propulsion module: the thrust and solar array subsystems.