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Monte Carlo simulation of single accident airport risk profileA computer simulation model was developed for estimating the potential economic impacts of a carbon fiber release upon facilities within an 80 kilometer radius of a major airport. The model simulated the possible range of release conditions and the resulting dispersion of the carbon fibers. Each iteration of the model generated a specific release scenario, which would cause a specific amount of dollar loss to the surrounding community. By repeated iterations, a risk profile was generated, showing the probability distribution of losses from one accident. Using accident probability estimates, the risks profile for annual losses was derived. The mechanics are described of the simulation model, the required input data, and the risk profiles generated for the 26 large hub airports.
Document ID
19790009913
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Other
Date Acquired
August 10, 2013
Publication Date
January 1, 1979
Publication Information
Publication: An Assessment of the Risks Presented by the Use of Carbon Fiber Composites in Com. Aviation
Subject Category
Statistics And Probability
Accession Number
79N18084
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Work of the US Gov. Public Use Permitted.
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