A probabilistic model of insolation for the Mojave desert-area

A preliminary solar model has been developed for the area around the JPL's Goldstone Space Communications Complex. The model has the capability of producing any or all of the following outputs: (1) a clear sky theoretical amount of radiation, (2) solar radiation for clear sky, cloudy sky or partially clear sky depending on certain probabilistic parameters, and (3) an array of average solar energy reception rates (solar intensities) in kW/sq m for a specified length of time. This model is based on the ASHRAE clear day model, which is modulated by the effects of clouds. The distribution of clouds for any given time is determined by the combination of statistical procedures, measured insolation values over a six-months period, and a data bank of 19 years of cloud cover information.