Theoretical study of multiple equilibria in simple axisymmetric tropical circulations

The possibility that the asymmetric part of the atmospheric circulation can possess multiple equilibrium states is examined using a two-layer axisymmetric model involving balance equations on an equatorial beta plane. Mountains are excluded from consideration and a Newtonian cooling formulation represents thermal forcing. A temperature maximum at 25 deg N is selected to simulate summer conditions in the Northern Hemisphere. Steady-state solutions obtained are investigated for stability with regard to first and second y-mode perturbations. A single stable mode is found, together with two other quasi-stable states. Attention is given to numerically modeling multiple equilibria in symmetric circulations, and one steady-state is determined for the two-layer model. A model employing primitive equations with the Boussinesq approximation is also examined, and it also furnishes only one steady state. The reasons for the lack of multiple steady-states as derived by the models are discussed.