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Numerical prediction experiments related to the summer 1980 U.S. heat waveThe GLA (Goddard Laboratory for Atmosphere) fourth-order model predictions of the summer 1980 heat wave are examined to assess the skill of the model in numerically forecasting the initiation of the heat wave and the sensitivity of the model predictions to initial conditions and boundary forcing. Results of experiments indicate that the model predictions are sensitive to the initial conditions. The sensitivity of the model to anomalous boundary forcing is found to be generally larger than its sensitivity to initial conditions at extended ranges. The results of the study suggest that models may be useful in forecasting similar events if adequate determinations of the evolving boundary forcing can be made in real time.
Document ID
19890031897
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Conference Paper
Authors
Atlas, R.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Wolfson, N.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Sud, Y. C.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD, United States)
Date Acquired
August 14, 2013
Publication Date
January 1, 1988
Subject Category
Meteorology And Climatology
Meeting Information
Meeting: Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Location: Baltimore, MD
Country: United States
Start Date: February 22, 1988
End Date: February 26, 1988
Sponsors: American Meteorological Society
Accession Number
89A19268
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other

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