Solar energetic particle events: Statistical modelling and predictionSolar energetic particle events (SEPEs) can have a significant effect on the design and operation of earth orbiting and interplanetary spacecraft. In relation to this, the calculation of proton fluences and fluxes are considered, describing the current state of the art in statistical modeling. A statistical model that can be used for the estimation of integrated proton fluences for different mission durations of greater than one year is reviewed. The gaps in the modeling capabilities of the SEPE environment, such as a proton flux model, alpha particle and heavy ion models and solar cycle variations are described together with the prospects for the prediction of events using neural networks.
Document ID
19970017849
Acquisition Source
Legacy CDMS
Document Type
Conference Paper
Authors
Gabriel, S. B. (Southampton Univ. United Kingdom)
Feynman, J. (Jet Propulsion Lab., California Inst. of Tech. Pasadena, CA United States)
Spitale, G. (Jet Propulsion Lab., California Inst. of Tech. Pasadena, CA United States)