Using Kalman Filter Chemical Data Assimilation to Study Ozone Catalytic Loss Cycles in January 1992

This paper presents for the first time a global study of the ozone catalytic destruction cycles operating in the stratosphere using a stratospheric analyses for January 1992. The chemical analyses were produced using a Kalman filter data assimilation system. Because a major component of the variability of trace gases is due to the atmospheric motions the analyses have been cast in a flow-tracking coordinate system that moves with the large scale flow pattern. Particular attention is paid to the kinetic aspects of these cycles such as the rate limiting step and chain length. Although it is an important kinetic parameter, the chain length of the various cycles is seldom considered when the various catalytic cycles are discussed. This survey highlights that in the low stratosphere the cycles involving HO2 and halogens (notably bromine) are particularly important. In approximate order of effectiveness the most important ozone loss cycles in the polar lower stratosphere are the BrO/ClO, HO2/BrO, and OH/HO2 cycles. The ClO/ClO cycle clearly delineates the regions of chlorine activation. The chain length of the HO2/ClO, OH/HO2, Br/BrO, and ClO/NO2, clearly delineate the vortex edge region. The chain length of the BrO/NO2 and Cl/NO2 cycles highlight the regions of chemical processing outside the vortex where streamers of chemically processed air are stripped-off and transported away from the vortex. This is also true in the very low stratosphere for the Cl/ClO and BrO/ClO cycles.