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AgMIP Climate Data and Scenarios for Integrated AssessmentClimate change presents a great challenge to the agricultural sector as changes in precipitation, temperature, humidity, and circulation patterns alter the climatic conditions upon which many agricultural systems rely. Projections of future climate conditions are inherently uncertain owing to a lack of clarity on how society will develop, policies that may be implemented to reduce greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions, and complexities in modeling the atmosphere, ocean, land, cryosphere, and biosphere components of the climate system. Global climate models (GCMs) are based on well-established physics of each climate component that enable the models to project climate responses to changing GHG concentration scenarios (Stocker et al., 2013).The most recent iteration of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5; Taylor et al., 2012) utilized representative concentration pathways (RCPs) to cover the range of plausible GHG concentrations out past the year 2100, with RCP8.5 representing an extreme scenario and RCP4.5 representing a lower concentrations scenario (Moss et al., 2010).
Document ID
20150007965
Document Type
Book Chapter
Authors
Ruane, Alexander C. (NASA Goddard Inst. for Space Studies New York, NY United States)
Winter, Jonathan M. (Dartmouth Coll. Hanover, NH, United States)
McDermid, Sonali P. (Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Inc. Oak Ridge, TN, United States)
Hudson, Nicholas I. (Columbia Univ. New York, NY, United States)
Date Acquired
May 12, 2015
Publication Date
April 30, 2015
Publication Information
Publication: Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems
Volume: 3
Subject Category
Meteorology and Climatology
Report/Patent Number
GSFC-E-DAA-TN16638
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: NNX10AO10G
CONTRACT_GRANT: NNX14AB99A
WBS: WBS 144598.04.01.01.17
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other
Keywords
agriculture
climatology
climate