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What Would Happen to Superstorm Sandy Under the Influence of a Substantially Warmer Atlantic Ocean?Based on ensemble numerical simulations, we find that possible responses of Sandy-like superstorms under the influence of a substantially warmer Atlantic Ocean bifurcate into two groups. In the first group, storms are similar to present-day Sandy from genesis to extratropical transition, except they are much stronger, with peak Power Destructive Index (PDI) increased by 50-80%, heavy rain by 30-50%, and maximum storm size (MSS) approximately doubled. In the second group, storms amplify substantially over the interior of the Atlantic warm pool, with peak PDI increased by 100-160%, heavy rain by 70-180%, and MSS more than tripled compared to present-day Superstorm Sandy. These storms when exiting the warm pool, recurve northeastward out to sea, subsequently interact with the developing midlatitude storm by mutual counterclockwise rotation around each other and eventually amplify into a severe Northeastern coastal storm, making landfall over the extreme northeastern regions from Maine to Nova Scotia.
Document ID
20170003762
Acquisition Source
Goddard Space Flight Center
Document Type
Reprint (Version printed in journal)
External Source(s)
Authors
Lau, William K. M.
(Maryland Univ. College Park, MD, United States)
Shi, J. J.
(Morgan State Univ. Baltimore, MD, United States)
Tao, W. K.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD United States)
Kim, K. M.
(NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD United States)
Date Acquired
April 20, 2017
Publication Date
January 19, 2016
Publication Information
Publication: Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
Volume: 43
Issue: 2
ISSN: 0094-8276
e-ISSN: 1944-8007
Subject Category
Meteorology And Climatology
Report/Patent Number
GSFC-E-DAA-TN41905
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: NNG11HP16A
CONTRACT_GRANT: DOE/PNNL 4331620
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Other
Keywords
radar reflectivities
rain rate intensities
4ICE microphysics scheme

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