NASA Logo

NTRS

NTRS - NASA Technical Reports Server

Back to Results
Long-Term Solar Activity Studies Using Microwave Imaging Observations and Prediction for Cycle 25We use microwave imaging observations from the Nobeyama Radioheliograph at 17 GHz for long-term studies of solar activity. In particular, we use the polar and low-latitude brightness temperatures as proxies to the polar magnetic field and the active-regions, respectively. We also use the location of prominence eruptions as a proxy to the filament locations as a function of time. We show that the polar microwave brightness temperature is highly correlated with the polar magnetic field strength and the fast solar wind speed. We also show that the polar microwave brightness at one cycle is correlated with the low latitude brightness with a lag of about half a solar cycle. We use this correlation to predict the strength of the solar cycle: the smoothed sunspot numbers in the southern and northern hemispheres can be predicted as 89 and 59, respectively. These values indicate that cycle 25 will not be too different from cycle 24 in its strength. We also combined the rush to the pole data from Nobeyama prominences with historical data going back to 1860 to study the north-south asymmetry of sign reversal at solar poles. We find that the reversal asymmetry has a quasi-periodicity of 3-5 cycles.
Document ID
20180006579
Acquisition Source
Goddard Space Flight Center
Document Type
Accepted Manuscript (Version with final changes)
Authors
N. Gopalswamy ORCID
(Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, Maryland, United States)
P. Makela
(Catholic University of America Washington D.C., District of Columbia, United States)
S. Yashiro
(Catholic University of America Washington D.C., District of Columbia, United States)
S. Akiyama
(Catholic University of America Washington D.C., District of Columbia, United States)
Date Acquired
October 18, 2018
Publication Date
April 23, 2018
Publication Information
Publication: Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
Publisher: Elsevier
Volume: 176
Issue Publication Date: September 1, 2018
ISSN: 1364-6826
Subject Category
Solar Physics
Report/Patent Number
GSFC-E-DAA-TN57828
Funding Number(s)
CONTRACT_GRANT: NNG11PL10A
PROJECT: SCMD-Heliophysics_955518
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Public Use Permitted.
No Preview Available