On the joint bimodality of temperature and moisture near stratocumulus cloud tops

The observed distributions of the thermodynamic variables near stratocumulus top are highly bimodal. Two simple models of sub-grid fractional cloudiness motivated by this observed bimodality are examined. In both models, certain low order moments of two independent, moist-conservative thermodynamic variables are assumed to be known. The first model is based on the assumption of two discrete populations of parcels: a warm-day population and a cool-moist population. If only the first and second moments are assumed to be known, the number of unknowns exceeds the number of independent equations. If the third moments are assumed to be known as well, the number of independent equations exceeds the number of unknowns. The second model is based on the assumption of a continuous joint bimodal distribution of parcels, obtained as the weighted sum of two binormal distributions. For this model, the third moments are used to obtain 9 independent nonlinear algebraic equations in 11 unknowns. Two additional equations are needed to determine the covariance within the two subpopulations. In case these two internal covariance vanish, the system of equations can be solved analytically.